02/09/2010 - Anaheim, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Corey Perry had a goal and two assists to lead the Anaheim Ducks to a 4-2 win over Los Angeles and snap the Kings' franchise- best nine-game winning streak.
Saku Koivu and Teemu Selanne each had a goal and an assist while Ryan Getzlaf added a goal for the Ducks, who have won four of their last five games. Jonas Hiller stopped 35 shots in the win, Anaheim's 10th in a row at home to equal a franchise record.
Getzlaf left the game in the second period with a sprained left ankle. An X- rays revealed no broken bones.
Oscar Moller and Anze Kopitar each had a goal for the Kings, who had not lost since a 5-1 defeat at the hands of San Jose on January 19. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 shots in the loss.
The Kings drew first blood in the game at the 12:31 mark of the first. Alexander Frolov skated down the right side and from the right circle slammed on the brakes, spun around and sent a backhand pass to the slot, where Moller backhanded the puck into the net.
The Ducks, though, got the goal back with 90 seconds left in the frame as Selanne chipped the puck into the net from a sharp angle at the left side on the power play.
Anaheim took control of the game with a pair of goals early in the second period.
The first goal came 3:27 in as Perry caught up to the puck behind the left side of the LA net and threw a pass out front where Getzlaf one-timed it home.
Less than three minutes later, Selanne blasted a slap shot from the left circle that Quick stopped, but the rebound came out front and Koivu backhanded it in.
Los Angeles got a goal back with 1:54 to play in the second as Ryan Smyth sent a pass from the low right side to the slot where Kopitar threw a hard wrister into the back of the net.
However, Anaheim got the goal back just 24 seconds later when Perry flew into the LA zone and from the right circle snapped a wrister that beat Quick cleanly.
In the third, Hiller stopped all 18 shots he faced and helped kill an LA power play in the latter stages of the game to keep the Kings from making it a one-goal game.
Game Notes
Anaheim hosts Edmonton on Wednesday...LA hosts Edmonton on Thursday...The Kings had won five straight over Anaheim, including three this season...Anaheim went 2-for-4 on the power play while Los Angeles failed on all four of its chances.
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Ilya Bryzgalov turned aside 33 shots for t
<< Stewart, Yip help Avs upend Blues
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Colorado Avalanche downed the St. Louis Blues, 5-2, at Pepsi Center.
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the Avalanche
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Alabama visits Kentucky in SEC action >>
Lexington, KY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Alabama Crimson Tide invade Rupp Arena
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online sportsbook got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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